Today's bounce, such as it is, looks pretty anemic. Upside momentum, which was scant at the rise this morning, is already waning. From yesterday's low of 1114.22 to today's high of 1141.72 is 27.5 points. From the point labeled 2 on the graph, 1196.91, the total drop is 82.69. So this bounce is a .33 retracement of that drop. This is about the minimum you would expect for a weak correction, and suggests that my 3 might only be iii, or even 3. No matter, though, there is lots more down-side action to be expected in the weeks, months and years ahead.
Afterthought: I should point out that there were at least two unsuccessful attempts to pierce through 1140 today. What once once support now has become resistance.